Is it Possible to Increase Lottery Revenues in a Time of Anti-Gambling Disapproval?

The lottery is a form of gambling in which participants buy numbered tickets and win prizes if their numbers are randomly drawn. Typically, the prize money is cash. Lotteries have been popular in many countries and are a common source of public funds, including for charitable projects. They have also been used to finance major government infrastructure projects, such as the Great Wall of China and the Statue of Liberty.

The term is probably derived from Middle Dutch loteri, from Old English lot “fate” and erie “to draw.” Early lotteries were organized in the Low Countries around the 15th century to raise money for town fortifications and to help the poor. The first English state lottery was held in 1569, with advertisements for it having been printed two years earlier.

In a time of antitax fever, state governments have come to rely on lotteries as a source of revenue. However, if you take a step back and look at the bigger picture, lottery games seem to be creating more gamblers, not capturing “inevitable” gambling revenue. What’s more, a lot of people do not realize that by promoting the games, they are contributing to gambling addictions and the need for ever-larger jackpots.

When a new game is introduced, revenues often expand dramatically, but they eventually level off and can even decline. This is why new games are constantly being introduced in a race to keep revenues up. But is it really possible to maintain or even increase lottery revenues, especially in a time of growing public disapproval for gambling?

Lotteries are a classic example of public policy being made piecemeal and incrementally, without any overall direction or guidance. State officials tend to make policy by responding to the concerns of constituents and balancing competing interests. As a result, the overall fiscal health of states and their governments is rarely considered.

Most states have established state-sponsored lotteries. While some critics see the establishment of a state lottery as an act of bad governance, others argue that it is a legitimate way to raise needed revenue and stimulate economic activity. Many of the same arguments that were used to support state lotteries in the past—from the public’s love of gambling to a desire to siphon money away from illegal gambling—have not changed.

While the popularity of the lottery is influenced by a number of factors, the main reason that it continues to attract broad public approval is that the proceeds are earmarked for a specific public good. This argument is particularly powerful in times of financial stress, as it can help to offset the fear that the government might be forced to cut services or increase taxes. Studies, however, have shown that the objective fiscal circumstances of a state have little to do with whether or when it adopts a lottery.